比特币冲刺5万美元，可能已经失败了。它在目前这个价位，不一定能扛得住。
Bitcoin could have failed to hit $50,000. At this price, it doesn't have to be able to handle it.
这一轮疯牛，比特币是从1万美元开始涨起来的，到5万美元这个位置，可能就有点虚脱了。
This round of mad cow, Bitcoin rose from $10,000 to $50,000, which may be a little disillusioned.
在美国，比特币与金条的区别在于：比特币更容易变现。
The difference between bitcoin and gold in the United States is that bitcoin is easier to cash.
比特币的流动性比黄金要好，至少在美国。
Bitcoin is better mobile than gold, at least in the United States.
所以，比特币的价格会激烈波动。因为，投机搞一把的人，随时会见风头不对，赶紧撤了。
So, the price of Bitcoin will be very volatile. Because the strong speculators don't meet the wind at any time. Get out of here.
比特币蚕食黄金的份额，它不需要达到黄金的市值的。某些大佬鼓吹的45万美元一枚，可能永远不会来临。因为，比特币达到一定规模后，美联储就无法放水了。有些美国企业上市，会比特币标价，发债也会比特币标价。
Bitcoin's share of gold, it doesn't have to reach the market value of gold. The $450,000 that some big guys are advocating might never come. Because, when Bitcoin reaches a certain size, the Fed will not be able to release the water.
美国是个自由的国家。
The United States is a free country.
美国是个自由的国家。
The United States is a free country.
美国是个自由的国家。
The United States is a free country.
重要的事情说三遍。
The important thing is to say it three times.
英文是这么说的：It's a free country。
It's a free country.
特斯拉能囤15亿美元比特币，并在合规背景下接受比特币支付。其他美国公司也能跟随。币价是2万美元，还是4万美元，区别不大。
Tesla can hoard $1.5 billion in bitcoins and accept Bitcoins in compliance. Other American companies can follow.
一旦有大量美国公司接受比特币支付，部分美国市政接受比特币纳税，那时比特币兑美元的汇率就会稳定下来。
Once a large number of U.S. companies accept Bitcoin payments and some U.S. municipalities accept Bitcoin taxes, the exchange rate of Bitcoin against the United States dollar will stabilize.
下一次美联储再无节操放水时，比特币就能像之前黄金从1300涨到2000美元那样，一次性拉一根大阳线，一次性调整到位。
The next time the Fed is running out of water, Bitcoin will be able to pull a one-time radial line and make a one-time adjustment, like the previous increase in gold from 1300 to $2,000.
下一次美联储再无节操放水时，相当比例的美国经济会转移成比特币计价。这样，美元的通胀会非常明显。
The next time the Fed is out of water, a significant proportion of the United States economy will shift to bitcoin. In this way, the inflation in the United States dollar will be quite obvious.
比方说，2030年，沃尔玛超市，某商品卖：0.00003个BTC。
For example, in 2030, Wal-Mart, a product sold: 0.00003 BTCs.
美联储瞎几把乱放水后，BTC的标价保持不变，美元价格嗖嗖嗖。
After the Fed's blindingly dislodged water, the BTC price remained unchanged and the dollar price remained high.
然后，普通美国人，美国的市长，美国的州长，美国的国会议员，美国的参议员，最后美国总统，就会问：美联储，咋搞的？
Then, ordinary Americans, the mayor of the United States, the governor of the United States, the congressman of the United States, the senator of the United States, and finally the President of the United States would ask: "What's going on with the Fed?"
但是，美联储主席是总统提名，国会通过。所以，从国会议员到总统，他们就要向美国选民解释一下：咋回事？
But the Fed President was nominated by the President and passed by Congress. So, from Congress to the President, they had to explain to the US electorate
这是历史美元利率，80年代，由于通胀失控，美元利率一度高到15%上方。
is a historical dollar interest rate , which was once high above 15 per cent in the 1980s due to the uncontrollable inflation.
现如今，东亚接盘侠老龄化少子化。以后，美债摊派，就少了一个超级傻逼的接盘侠。
Now,
东亚接盘侠耗尽，美元的通胀将直接体现在商品价格上。
East Asian pickers are exhausted, and inflation in the United States dollar will be reflected directly in commodity prices.
美国人有选票，美国人有枪，美国人有盐论自由。
Americans have votes, Americans have guns, Americans have salty freedom.
即使是极端川粉，在美国瞎BB也不会被跨州抓，这就是：美帝的盐论自由。
Even the extreme hash powder will not be captured across the state by the blind BB in the United States, and that is the Emperor's Saltism Freedom.
比特币接下来的利空是，涨这么多要纳税了。
The next profit for Bitcoin is that it's going to be taxed.
美国的税务局(IRS)可不是吃素的。炒币赚钱，在美国要纳税。
The U.S. Tax Office (IRS) isn't a vegetarian. They make money, they pay taxes in the U.S.
美国纳税人要纳税，就要卖币套现。
U.S. taxpayers pay taxes, they sell coins.
建议炒币赚钱的美籍华人，先算算自己该缴纳多少税金，然后套现了。等比特币将来价格回落再去抄底。当然，你要是确定IRS查不到你，那就无所谓了。
Chinese-Americans who suggest that they pay their own taxes and pay their own taxes, and then set them up. When the price of bitcoins returns, they'll write it down. Of course, it doesn't matter if you make sure IRS doesn't find you.
美国通胀不涨上天，美联储放水不死心。将来，比特币还能涨。
上世纪80年代，美国的通胀也是很厉害的，网上有资料。
In the 1980s, inflation was also strong in the United States, with information available online.
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