市场分析认为，加密货币价格的下跌或与美联储的加息轨迹有关。今年以来，随着美联储稳步加息，虚拟货币价格一路下挫。业内认为，由于最近几个月美国股票和虚拟货币之间的紧密相关性，表明美联储的态度已经渗透到虚拟货币市场，这是近期比特币遭遇抛售的原因。
Since this year, with the Fed’s steady increase in interest rates, virtual currency prices have been frustrated. In the industry’s view, the close correlation between US equities and virtual currencies in recent months suggests that the Fed’s attitude has infiltrated the virtual currency market, which is why Bitcoin was recently sold.
美联储将在北京时间9月22日凌晨2时发布议息决议，市场预计此次加息幅度将达到75个基点以上。如果美联储的议息决议符合预期，这将是美联储今年以来的第5次加息，也将是首次连续在三次会议上加息75个基点。利率期货数据显示，目前市场预期美联储9月至少会加息75个基点，并有超过15%的概率加息100个基点。
If the Fed’s resolution meets expectations, it will be the fifth increase since this year, and for the first time in three consecutive meetings. Interest rate futures data show that the market currently expects the Fed to increase its interest rate by at least 75 basis points in September, with a probability of over 15% plus 100 basis points.
9月21日比特币（BTC)合约技术面分析：今日方面，大周期日线级别隔日承压19600向下继续摸了18800的支撑附近收阴，并没有出现有力反弹行情依旧偏弱。今早低开支撑附近，也没有反弹的流动性，没有完全跌破支撑同样缺乏下跌的力度。是在日线这里收阳看涨吞没，还是直接下破测试17600的前底这个不得而知，估计都在等待今晚的加息数据。短周期小时图来看隔日连阴回撤做空情绪严重，但是依旧没有跌破18800，连续测试这里不破说明还是有些支撑的，只是缺乏反弹力度，只能继续等待晚上数据行情；因此今日BTC短线合约交易策略：反抽19800-20000区域空，止损20300区域，目标看19000-18800区域；下方18500-18200区域多，止损18000区域，目标看19600-19800区域.
September 21: Technical analysis of the Bitcoin (BTC) contract: Today, the large-cycle solar-line pressure of 19600 days continues to touch down the nearby support area of 18,800, with no strong rebounding performance remaining weak. There was no back up near low support this morning, there was no rebounding mobility, there was no complete collapse to support the same lack of downward force. It was either the sun up and down here, or the early end of the 17600 test, which is estimated to be waiting for tonight's interest increase. The short-cycle hour map looks at the close-of-the-day disillusioning mood, but it's still 18,800, and there's still some support here for the continuous testing, just lacking the strength of the rebound, and it's still waiting for late-night data; today's BTC short-line contract strategy: the reverse smoke of 19800-2000, with an end to 20300, is aimed at the area of 19000-18800; there are more 18500-18,200 regions below, with a target of 19600-19800.
9月21日以太坊（ETH)合约技术面分析：今日方面，大周期日线级别收阴，目前撑住1320附近没有下破，但是1320这里会是前低1280的最后防守线，日内需关注这里的得失情况。短周期小时图从趋势来看空似乎是主旋律，但是隔日的探底回升，冲刺1390附近回撤1320这里不破，底部支撑还是有效，做空仍需要谨慎，反弹重要阻力位置观察是否承压来参与更稳健，比如1400-1420附近，比如1560附近；今日加息数据影响日内预计依旧会继续盘整，但是1320这里支撑多次没有下破，要留意晚间加息前是否有支撑反弹的走势；因此今日ETH短线合约交易策略：反抽1400-1420区域空，止损1450区域，目标看1300-1280区域；下方1280-1250区域多，止损1230区域，目标看1350-1380区域.
A technical analysis of the ETH contract on 21 September: today, the large-cycle solar-line level has remained intact in the vicinity of 1320, but 1320 will be the last line of defense in the first 1280 and will have to pay attention to the situation. The short-cycle hour map appears to be the main melody in terms of trends, but the next day's search back to 1320 is not broken, the bottom is still valid, the air is still in effect, and caution is still required, and critical resistance positions are observed to withstand more robust participation, such as 1400-1420, such as 1560; the increase in interest data today is still expected to continue, but more than 1280-1250 is expected to continue, and the target is 1250-1380. Today's ETH contract strategy is to counter-smoking 1400-1420, with an end to 1450 and a target of 1300-1280; there are more 1280-1250 regions below, with an end to 1230.
机会，总是留给有准备的人。这句话思辨性极强，如果所有人意见一致，那根本不可能是机会。这句话看起来像博弈，但是对于价值投资者，非常具有意义。相信大家在市场这么久了，应该知道资本市场的残酷，都不是大慈善家，多用点心，多看多学少动，做一个有主见的投资者！最后还是希望大家，在这个投资市场里面都可以把握住自己的一份利润！对于操作不懂及交易不顺的可以关注本人微信公众号“ETH指导分析”，每天不定时更新操作策略，让大家的交易都能得心应手！以上分析为笔者个人观点，仅供参考。
Opportunities are always reserved for those who are prepared to do so. This is very thoughtful. If everyone agrees, it is not an opportunity at all. It looks like a game, but it is very meaningful for value investors.
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