【昨日行情回顾】
{\bord0\shad0\alphaH3D}Strange. {\bord0\shad0\alphaH3D}
比特币四小时
bitcoin4hours
2020.3.8在8900附近介入的中线空单A，在2020.3.20开盘向上破6000时，按照计划于6005附近碰到移动止损离场！
2020.3.8 Intended medium-line blank list A in the vicinity of 8900, at 6000 hours in the direction of 2020.3.20, there was a planned break-out of mobile damage in the vicinity of 6005!
这个空单从入场到离场，共计持仓12天，最终获利2895美金！
It's 12 days from entry to exit, with a profit of $2895!
2020.3.12在7660介入的中线空单B，在2020.3.20有一根四小时蜡烛图收盘在6000上方之后，按照计划于6200附近离场！
2020.3.12 In the medium-line blank list of 7660, after a four-hour candle map closes at 6,000 above 2020.3.20, it is planned to leave near 6,200!
这个空单从入场到离场，共持仓8天，最终获利1400多美金！
It's eight days from entry to exit, and it ends up making more than $1,400!
虽然看起来，我们没有在3800的最低点附近离场很可惜，但是如果没有按照计划去执行，只是凭感觉去离场，可能只会获利几百美金就平仓了；而不会一直持仓如此之久，从而拥有如此丰厚的利润！
Although it seems unfortunate that we did not leave near the lowest point of 3,800, if we did not do it as planned, it would have been possible to leave only by feeling hundreds of dollars; instead of holding it for so long, we would have had so much profit!
按照计划交易的好处是：在亏损的时候，会把损失降到最低；在获利的时候，会把利润放到最大！
The benefits of the planned transaction are that, in case of loss, the loss will be minimized and, in case of profit, the profit will be maximized!
【后市分析】
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比特币周图
bitcoinweek chart
上周的周图收盘在6000美金的下方，所以从上周的蜡烛图来看，比特币选择了继续空头这一边！
Last week's weekly collection was below $6,000, so from last week's candle map, Bitcoin chose to continue empty side!
今天开盘之后，比特币重新冲破了6000，回到了6000的上方，所以我们需要关注这周的蜡烛图最终的收盘到底是6000上方还是6000下方；如果比特币重新回到6000下方，那么今天的向上可能就只是周图的上影线；如果比特币的收盘是在6000上方，那么比特币的空头就会暂告一段落！
After today's opening, bitcoin broke 6000 and returned to 6,000 above, so we need to focus on whether the end of this week's candle map is above 6,000 or below 6,000; if Bitcoin returns to the bottom of 6,000, then today's upwards may be just the top line of the map; if bitcoin closes over 6,000, then bitcoin's head will be closed!
从周图的均线来看，均线刚刚才开始死叉，所以从纯技术的角度来看，熊市格局才刚刚开始；即使要从熊市慢慢开始转牛市，那么也就需要经历一个均线空头排列，再到均线金叉的过程！
From the average line of the weekly map, the flat line has only just begun to die, so from a purely technical point of view, the bear market pattern is only just beginning; even if it is to move slowly from the bear city to the cow market, it will have to go through a flat line line, and then go to the gold fork.
比特币天图
bitcoin sky map
今天比特币向上冲破了6000美金，那么比特币的牛市来了吗？
Today Bitcoin broke $6,000 up, so did Bitcoin's cow market come?
也许这真的是牛市的开始，也许这真的是这一轮下跌的底部；但是我还是希望再稳健一些、保守一些，再多等几天，再多观望几天！
Maybe it's really the beginning of the cow market, maybe it's the bottom of the fall, but I'd like to be more steady, more conservative, more days, more days!
因为天图的均线现在是空头排列，15EMA均线正好跟上方的水平压力形成了一道共振压制；所以从这个技术的角度来看，其实空头格局仍然是完整的！
Because the average skyline is now empty, and the 15-EMA mean line keeps up with the horizontal pressure forming a resonance suppression; from the point of view of this technology, the empty pattern is still complete!
从2020.3.12和2020.3.13这连续4000美金的下跌幅度来看，这一次向上的大涨，也算得上合情合理的正常技术回调！
In view of the consistent decline of $4,000 in 2020.3.12 and 2020.3.13, this increase is also a reasonable and normal technical reversal.
只是周图的6000美金是比较重要的支撑阻力位，所以我们需要慎重对待；只要比特币重新回到6000下方，那么就是空头继续的第一个确认信号！
It's just that $6,000 from Zhou's map is the more important support barrier, so we need to be careful; as long as Bitcoin returns to the bottom of 6,000, it's the first confirmation signal to continue empty!
比特币四小时
bitcoin4hours
从四小时上看，上图的绿色上升趋势线支撑起了比特币的这一波上涨；同时6000美金被向上突破之后形成了一个支撑作用，所以今天比特币才稍微调整继续上冲；但是最终徘徊于天图的15EMA均线附近！
In four hours, the above-figured green upward trend line supported this wave of Bitcoin; while $6,000 was broken upwards, it was only today that bitcoin was slightly adjusted to continue the upswing; but it eventually hovered near the 15-EMA average line of the sky map!
在当前的格局中，周图均线死叉，天图均线空头排列并且15EMA均线正在压制；只有四小时均线是金叉的。
In the current pattern, the weekly average line is dead, the skyline is empty and the 15-EMA average line is under suppression; only the four-hour average line is golden fork.
在此时，我们又再次面临着类似于2020.3.5的多与空的抉择。
At this point, we are again faced with an alternative that is similar to 2020.3.5.
在2020.3.6的时候，四小时图的均线是金叉的，但是天图的均线是死叉的，所以对于走多头，我们当时有三个字形容：不支持；对于走空头，我们有四个字形容：合情合理！
At 2020.3.6, the four-hour average line was golden fork, but the skyline was flat fork, so we had three words to say for multiple ends: no support; for empty for four words: reasonable.
对于这一次的多与空的选择，大部分投资者还是按照比特币减半的大牛市心态、股市拉升的基本面以及低位抄底的心理去看多的；
For this multi-empty choice, the majority of investors looked at it in the same way as the Big Cow mentality, which halved by bitcoin, the fundamentals of the stock market build-up and the downside mentality;
我这一次还是想摆脱比特币减半、股市大涨以及低价抄底的影响，冷静客观地站在纯技术的角度来感受一些市场的可能技术走向：
On this occasion, I wanted to move away from the impact of halving bitcoin, stock market booms and low prices, and to be calm and objective in terms of purely technicality in terms of the possible technological orientation of some markets:
如果比特币最终要向上走牛市的多头，那么最好能够再向下来回测一次6000的水平支撑以及四小时的绿色上升趋势线；然后凭借下方的支撑向上收盘在天图的15EMA均线上方，此时我们凭借这三重共振支撑的作用，看看有没有机会走出一波风险比较小的多头拉升！
If Bitcoin eventually has to head up to the bull market, then it would be better to be able to look back at the 6,000-level support and the four-hour green upward trend line; and then close it up on the 15-EMA average of the sky map with the support of the bottom, so we can use this triple resonance to see if we have a chance to get out of a wave of less risky multiple pull-ups!
如果接下来比特币还是要沿着周图均线死叉和天图均线空头排列的顺势空头继续走更低的下跌，那么只需要向下跌破四小时的6000水平支撑以及绿色上升趋势线，如果在向下破位的过程中，四小时的均线再重新转为死叉，那么就是理想中的新的中线空头形态了！
If then Bitcoin continues to fall even lower along the weekly averaged fork and the skyline empty, then it only needs to support a four-hour drop of 6,000 horizontals and a green upward trend line, and if the four-hour average turns back to dead fork in the process of falling down, that is the ideal new midline empty form!
从技术对比来看，反转走多头，需要配合的条件很多，难度较高；继续顺势走空头，只需要一个关键位置的破位就可以了，难度较低！
In terms of technical contrasts, the reversals are many, and the conditions for cooperation are many, and they are more difficult; the continuation of the trend is less difficult, with only one key position to break.
综上所述，比特币暂时回到6000上方，对于可能的多头，我们尽可能谨慎再谨慎，稳健再稳健，保守再保守地对待，多等几天，以确认这是一个底部；对于可能的空头，我们也需要密切关注，等它出现理想中的空头形态！
On the basis of the foregoing, Bitcoin has returned temporarily to over 6,000, and for the many possible ends, we have tried to be as careful as possible, to be safe, to be conservative, to be conservative, to wait a few days to confirm that this is the bottom; for the possible void, we also need to pay close attention to it when it has the desired empty form!
文章来源：潭学区块链（公众号）
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