原标题:一日爆仓超58亿元!币圈又上了“血泪一课”,比特币大跌10%,马斯克也“跑了”?
Original title:
北京时间6月8日,比特币日内连破4道整数关口,一度暴跌近10%,暂报32605美元。
On 8 June Beijing time, four full points were broken in Bitcoin, one of which fell sharply by almost 10 per cent, temporarily reporting $3205.
较上个月65000美元的历史高点几近腰斩,多头防御阵线一触即溃。
More than $65,000 in history last month, close to the beheading, the multi-faceted defence front collapsed.
彭博数据显示,比特币近日的下跌,使其年内涨幅仅剩下14%,不及大宗商品和欧洲、亚洲的一些股票指数表现。
The Bloomberg data show that the recent fall in Bitcoin left only 14 per cent of its annual increase, less than the performance of major commodities and some equity indices in Europe and Asia.
虚拟货币上演“大屠杀”
6月8日,比特币再次给币圈投资者上了血泪的一课。
On 8 June, Bitcoin again gave a lesson in tears to currency circle investors.
在35000美元点位拉扯3天之后,比特币价格急转直下,一日暴跌超4000美元。
After three days of puncture at $35,000, the price of Bitcoin plunged sharply, dropping by over $4,000 a day.
目前价格已回归至今年2月初特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克力推比特币之前的水平。
Prices have now returned to levels before Tesla CEO Elon Masklis pushed Bitcoin in early February of this year.
期货合约市场更是“尸横遍野”。UAlCoin数据显示,虚拟货币合约一日内共爆仓超58亿元人民币,近2.6万多头惨遭血洗。
The futures contract market is even more “dead everywhere.” UAlCoin data show that virtual currency contracts in one day have exploded in excess of RMB5.8 billion, and that nearly 26,000 people have been subjected to bloodbathing.
glassnode数据显示,比特币交易活跃地址已创下今年以来新低,比特币的交易活跃度走向了今年的底部区间,关注的人数逐渐减少。
Glasnode data show that the Bitcoin trading active address has been at a low level since this year, with Bitcoin trading activity moving to the bottom of the year, with fewer concerns.
比特币重挫10%
最近一周,市场的恐慌情绪格外严重。alternative.me显示,6月8日,虚拟货币交易情绪指数降至13,处于极端恐慌状态。
During the past week, the panic in the market has been particularly acute. According to arrant.me, on 8 June, the virtual currency trade sentiment index fell to 13, in a state of extreme panic.
社交平台上,有投资者晒出近期虚拟货币平台的持仓显示,累计收益率已跌至-302%,而早在3月,这一数字曾是77.86%。今年以来其炒币已损失8658万美元。
On the social platform, investors posted their recent virtual money platform holdings, showing a cumulative return of -302 per cent, compared to 77.86 per cent as early as March, when they lost $8.658 million in banknotes since the beginning of the year.
欧易OKEx研究院首席研究员William指出,站在中期视角看,比特币自4月14日见顶以来,一直处于下跌趋势中,期间每一个具有代表性的反弹高点都在不断下移,意味着空方始终占据优势地位。
William, Chief Researcher at the EuiOKEx Institute, noted that from a medium-term perspective, Bitcoin has been on a downward trend since its peak on 14 April, with every single representative rebounding point moving downwards over the period, meaning that the empty side has always occupied a dominant position.
5月下旬之后,市场观望情绪浓厚,在走势上形成了收敛三角形。
After late May, there was a strong sense of market viewing and a condensed triangle emerged in the direction of movement.
但三角形在下跌趋势中,发展成中继盘整的概率很大(所谓中继盘整,是指盘整结束后,会继续沿原有的向下方向运行)。
In the downward trend, however, there is a high probability that the triangle will evolve into a trunking plate (the so-called trunking plate, which will continue to run in the same downward direction after the plate has been completed).
币价在下破三角形下沿后出现过4次反弹行为,表明多方做了多次努力均以失败告终,致使相当一部分多头失去信心转向空头。
The four rebounds of currency prices along a broken triangle showed that multiple efforts had failed, leading to a considerable loss of confidence.
火币集团高级分析师蒋梦初表示,从技术形态上来看,比特币虽然今日跌幅接近10%,但与前几次跌幅在10%左右的情形相比,成交量明显低很多。
At first sight, the Senior Analyst of the Treasure Group, Chiang Dynasty, stated that, in technical form, Bitcoin, while falling by almost 10 per cent today, was significantly lower than the previous drop of around 10 per cent.
5月中旬之后,交易量逐渐下降到与前期高位震荡相当的水平,表明市场并未对下跌形成一致预期。
After mid-May, the volume of transactions gradually declined to levels comparable to previous high-profile shocks, indicating that the market did not produce a consistent expectation of a decline.
大跌的另一个原因是对流动性收紧的担忧。
Another cause of the sharp fall was the concern about tightening liquidity.
本周美国将发布5月CPI报告,市场对于通胀压力有较高预期,如果数据达到预期甚至超预期,市场担心美联储提前收紧宽松政策。
This week, the United States will issue its CPI report in May, where the market has high expectations of inflationary pressures, and where data meet expectations or even exceed expectations, the market is concerned about early tightening of the Fed's easing policy.
花旗近日发布的报告认为,一旦未来各国监管政策收紧,部分投机性的资金将回归黄金市场。
A recent report issued by Citigroup concluded that some speculative funds would return to the gold market once regulatory policies of States were tightened in the future.
特朗普谴责比特币
来势汹汹的闪崩背后,美国前总统唐纳德·特朗普“功不可没”。6月8日,“特朗普称比特币是骗局”登上微博热搜。
On 8 June, “Trump called Bitcoin a fraud” boarded a microblogging search.
当地时间6月7日,特朗普在接受福克斯商业频道采访时,强调了他反对虚拟货币的立场,称比特币可能是一个“骗局”。
On 7 June, local time, Trump, in an interview with the Fox Business Channel, stressed his position against virtual currency, stating that Bitcoin could be a “fraud”.
特朗普称比特币是一个骗局
特朗普还表示:“这个世界的货币应该是美元,我们不应该拥有比特币。”此外,特朗普还呼吁加强对虚拟货币的监管。
Trump also stated: “The currency of the world should be the United States dollar, and we should not have bitcoin.” In addition, Trump called for stronger regulation of virtual currency.
近年来,特朗普曾多次抨击虚拟货币,指责它们为“包括毒品交易和其他非法活动在内的非法行为”提供便利。
In recent years, Trump has repeatedly criticized virtual currencies for facilitating “illegal acts, including the drug trade and other illegal activities”.
2019年7月,特朗普曾在社交媒体上表示,他不是比特币的粉丝,虚拟货币的价值波动很大,而且是凭空而来。不受监管的加密资产会助长非法行为。
In July 2019, Trump stated in social media that he was not a fan of Bitcoin, that the value of virtual money was highly volatile and empty. Unregulated encryption assets could fuel illegal behaviour.
William指出,特朗普称比特币是骗局的消息发生时间是在7日晚间,当时币价仅在正常范围内小幅调整,下跌加速发生在8日凌晨4点,所以认为这则消息引发了币价下跌,未免牵强。他认为,本轮下跌更多是市场自身的运行规律使然。
William pointed out that the news that Trump called Bitcoin a fraud occurred in the evening of seven days, when the currency price was only finely adjusted within normal limits, accelerating at 4 a.m. on 8 a.m., and thought that the news triggered a fall in the currency price, which, in his view, was due more to the market’s own operating pattern.
特斯拉或抛售离场
Tesla or dump
有市场人士猜测,今天比特币的下跌与马斯克近期的一系列推文有关,马斯克或将抛售比特币。在目前相对脆弱的市场情绪下,引发了散户的恐慌情绪。
There is speculation in the market that today’s decline in bitcoin is linked to a series of recent tweets by Muskeh, which will probably sell bitcoin. In the current relatively fragile market mood, it has caused fear in the diaspora.
2月上旬,特斯拉宣布购入价值15亿美元的比特币,并透露将开始接受比特币作为付款方式,这一消息一举把比特币推上50000美元大关。
In early February, Tesla announced the purchase of $1.5 billion in bitcoin and revealed that it would begin to accept bitcoin as a form of payment, a message that pushed bitcoin to the $50,000 mark.
多位加密数字资产业内人士看来,这一消息是推动比特币价格从20000美元快速飙涨至60000美元的重要催化剂。
According to many insiders in the crypto-digital asset industry, this information is an important catalyst for the rapid increase in Bitcoin prices from US$ 20,000 to US$ 60,000.
但是,如今比特币的价格已经接近当初特斯拉买入时的成本价,一旦币价继续下跌,或成为特斯拉公司财务上的负担。
However, the price of Bitcoin is now close to the cost of Tesla when it was purchased, once it continues to fall or becomes a financial burden for Tesla.
所以,特斯拉有理由在币价尚未跌到买入成本之下的时候,甩掉这个包袱。
Therefore, Tesla had reason to lose this burden before it fell below the purchase cost.
近期,马斯克这位比特币的“信徒”也频频唱衰比特币。
Recently, Mr. Musk, a “belonger” of Bitcoin, also sung a lot of bitcoin.
先是在5月12日宣布,由于碳排放量过大,特斯拉将暂停接受比特币这一付款方式。
First, on 12 May, it was announced that Tesla would suspend the payment of Bitcoin due to excessive carbon emissions.
随后又暗示,特斯拉要出售持有的所有比特币。
It was then implied that Tesla wanted to sell all the bitcoins held.
比特币重挫10%
尽管随后他改口澄清并未卖出,但是6月3日,他又以一张图片和一个心碎的表情,在社交媒体宣告与比特币“分手”。
Although he later made it clear that it had not been sold, on 3 June he “separated” with Bitcoin in the social media with a picture and a heartbreak.
这接连几次的“变脸”,直接抹平了比特币自今年2月以来的所有涨幅,让币圈的投资活动迅速降温,也让投资者意识到比特币暴涨暴跌的本质。
This series of “face changes” directly wiped out all of Bitcoin's increases since February of this year, cooling investment activity rapidly in the currency circle and making investors aware of the nature of Bitcoin's surge and collapse.
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