比特币期货即将在美国上线交易：狂欢盛宴OR做空神器

　　再回到比特币期货上市交易问题，通过对币圈玩家以及交易平台负责人的采访还有各种论坛的发帖，记者发现随着比特币期货市场的出现，人们对比特币的价格普遍感到乐观。

Returning to the issue of Bitcoin futures on the market, and through interviews with currency-circle players and trade platform leaders, as well as various forums, journalists found that, with the emergence of the Bitcoin futures market, there was general optimism about the price of Bitcoins.

　　这其实是由于缺乏对期货市场运作方式的理解而产生的。

This is actually the result of a lack of understanding of how futures markets operate.

　　换句话讲，现货市场主要为投资者创造的，而期货市场更像是为投机者设立的。就像陈思进认为，期货从来就不是投资，期货本身的目的就是让做投机，这是一个投机市场。所以说，比特币非但没有进入主流投资市场，而是进入了一个大型的，处处布局的投机市场。

In other words, the spot market is primarily created for investors, and the futures market is more like a speculator. As Chen Thinking argued, futures are never investments, and futures themselves are about speculation, which is a speculative market. So Bitcoin, instead of entering the mainstream investment market, has entered a large, well-arranged, speculative market.

　　所以比特币被纳入期货交易所，那么对于华尔街投机者而言，他们即使手中不拥有比特币，依然可以进行出售操作，这也是为什么目前美国已有多家对冲基金开始摩拳擦掌，计划通过期货合约做空比特币。对冲基金英国曼氏集团已经宣布推出比特币期货与相关的衍生产品。对冲基金传奇人物Michael Novogratz也多次表示看好比特币的前景。

So Bitcoin is included in the futures exchange, so for Wall Street speculators, they can still sell even if they do not own bitcoin, which is why many hedge funds in the United States are starting to rub their hands and plan to make bitcoins through futures contracts. The hedge fund, the British Mansion Group, has announced the introduction of bitcoin futures and related derivatives.

　　肖磊在接受记者采访时表示：“事实上，华尔街入局，他们并不关心比特币目前的价格，这些人前期进场肯定是跟着市场的方向来走，比特币的价格不断走高，但是你并不知道他们在什么时候就开始布局空单，做空比特币，将比特币价格从高位往下砸，按照比特币期货合约保障金的35%来计算，他们的杠杆收益可能是3~4倍。”

In an interview with the press, Shaw said: “In fact, Wall Street has entered, and they don't care about the current price of Bitcoin, which must have followed the market, and the price of Bitcoin is going up, but you don't know when they're starting to make an empty bill, doing an empty bitcoin, smashing the price of Bitcoin from high to lower, which is probably three to four times their leverage gain, based on 35 per cent of the guarantee of the Bitcoin futures contract.”

　　肖磊认为，比特币市场目前所吸引的资金，超过2000亿美元，如果用反复拉升和迅速打压的方式操作比特币价格，不出半年，比特币价格可能会涨到奇高无比，然后惨烈下跌，至少会出现两个来回，市值波动1000亿美元上下，直接从现有市场洗劫出去的财富，也可以说转移到华尔街的财富，可能会超过500亿美元。

Shaw argued that the money currently attracted by the Bitcoin market exceeded $200 billion and that, if the price of the bitcoin were to be operated in a manner of repeated lifts and rapid crushing, it could rise to extraordinary heights in less than six months and then fall sharply, and there would be at least two round-trips, with market value fluctuations of $100 billion, the wealth looted directly from the existing market, or the wealth transferred to Wall Street, which could be more than $50 billion.

　　尤其是国内投资者，如果你想参与这场比特币“盛宴”，那么你将在接下的时间里，不仅要承担价格波动风险，还要承担政策风险和系统风险。

In particular, domestic investors, if you want to take part in the Bitcoin feast, you will be able to assume not only the risk of price volatility, but also the policy and systemic risks in the coming period.

　　当庄家入局，那么只能祈祷，你在庄家收割之时，是那条幸运的漏网之鱼。

And when the house comes into play, it is only to pray that when you harvest at the house, you are the lucky fish that slips through the net.

　　（证券时报网快讯中心）

(System Times Quick News Centre)

新浪科技公众号

　　“掌”握科技鲜闻 （微信搜索techsina或扫描左侧二维码关注）

"Knock on the technology" is anecdotal.

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