新华社纽约1月13日电综述：供不应求还是投机拉动？比特币行情多空分歧明显
Xinhua New York Power Summary 13 January: Do you want it or do you want it to be speculative? Bitcoin is very divided.
新华社记者刘亚南
Xinhua News Agency journalist Liu Yanan
比特币价格近日大涨，接连突破3万美元和4万美元整数关口，备受市场关注。分析人士认为，比特币价格上涨受机构投资者入场及国际金融市场资金充裕等因素带动。不过，市场人士对于比特币未来走势存在明显分歧。
Bitcoin prices have soared in recent times, breaking the 30,000 and 40,000-dollar mark, and are of interest to the market. According to analysts, the price increases in bitcoin are driven by factors such as institutional investors’ entry and the availability of financial resources in international financial markets.
部分市场人士认为，与此前比特币价格大涨后暴跌不同，本轮价格上涨行情源于市场上比特币供不应求，未来可能继续攀升。
According to some marketers, unlike the previous sharp rise in bitcoin prices, the price boom in the current round stemmed from the demand for bitcoin in the market and could continue to climb in the future.
美国天桥资本公司共同创始人安东尼·斯卡拉穆奇与总裁布雷特·梅辛日前撰文说，根据设计规则，目前每日约有900个新比特币出现，但比特币需求显著大于这一供应规模。如果供不应求的趋势延续，比特币价格会涨得更高。
The co-founder of Skybridge Capital, Anthony Scalamucci, and its Managing Director, Bret Mesing, wrote a few days ago that, according to design rules, there are currently about 900 new bitcoins per day, but that bitcoins demand is significantly larger than this supply. If the trend of supply overhang continues, bitcoins will rise even more.
美国数字资产交易平台INX首席市场营销官道格拉斯·博思威克表示，机构投资者已经在加密货币市场投入数十亿美元，成为价格迅速上涨的最大原因。
Douglas Boswick, Chief Marketing Officer of the United States Digital Assets Trading Platform INX, stated that institutional investors had invested billions of dollars in the crypto-currency market, which was the biggest cause of rapid price increases.
美国摩根大通公司预计，由于比特币与黄金竞争替代性货币地位，长期看比特币价格仍有较大的上涨空间。
The United States company Morgan Chase anticipates that there is still much room for price increases in Bitcoin over the long term, owing to its competition for alternative monetary status with gold.
然而，也有一些分析人士表示，市场投机是驱动比特币等加密货币价格大涨的主要原因。这一类观点认为，比特币价格已进入泡沫区间，市场面临暴跌风险。
However, there are also analysts who argue that market speculation is the main driving force behind the sharp rise in the price of encrypted currencies, such as bitcoin. According to this view, bitcoin prices are in the bubble zone, and markets are at risk of collapse.
美国知名投资人马克·丘班日前表示，现阶段加密货币交易与互联网泡沫相似，无论价格如何上涨，总有专家试图论证其合理性。
The well-known United States investor, Mark Chuban, has recently stated that encrypt currency transactions are similar to Internet bubbles at this stage and that, regardless of price increases, experts are always trying to justify them.
美国康奈尔大学贸易政策教授埃斯瓦尔·普拉萨德说，比特币价格完全依赖投资者信心。如果10%的投资者选择卖出，比特币价格可能在第二天降至零。
Esval Prasad, a trade policy professor at Cornell University in the United States, says that bitcoin prices depend entirely on investor confidence. If 10% of investors choose to sell, bitcoin prices could drop to zero the next day.
纽约大学经济与国际商业学院教授鲁里埃尔·罗比尼一贯不看好比特币前景。他表示，比特币不是货币，并非计价单位或支付手段，不具备稳定储值工具的功能；同时，比特币又不是资产，没有内在价值，不能带来收益，且无使用价值。
Ruriel Robini, a professor at the New York University School of Economics and International Business, has always failed to appreciate the Bitcoin perspective. He has stated that Bitcoin is not a currency, not a denominated unit or a means of payment, and does not have the function of a stable storage tool; at the same time, Bitcoin is not an asset, has no intrinsic value, does not bring benefits and has no useful value.
罗比尼认为，比特币上涨由投机驱动，“现在距离这一夸张泡沫将要破裂的时候不远了”。
According to Robini, the increase in Bitcoin was driven by speculation, “not far from the time this hyperbolic bubble is about to break”.
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