市场仍押注美联储年内降息
本月美国几家银行和瑞信集团的倒闭,迫使全球重新思考货币政策的前景,同时引发了10多年来美国国债收益率的最大波动。
根据CME美联储观察工具显示,上周市场预期美联储在5月暂停加息的可能性曾一度高达超八成。
不过本周,随着围绕银行业危机蔓延的不安情绪缓解,美国两年期国债收益率本周一从接近今年最低的水平反弹。
本周五,美联储最为关注的指标——衡量潜在价格压力的个人消费支出(PCE)物价指数即将出炉。然而根据市场预期,美国2月PCE物价指数可能仍处于高位,这可能暗示美联储面临的通胀压力短期内仍然难以减弱。
比特币
截止发稿前,比特币日K线最高27200,最低26880,昨日文章思路27300附近布局空,点位未到预测位置,由此可见上方多头受到很强阻力,短期内空头实力较强,尤其是MACD放量下行,DIF和DEA高位向下即将形成死叉,MEA虽然目前为K线提供了一个支撑点,下方26600支撑不是很强,还要继续下看,25500,KDJ向下跳水,下方阻力点可以看出在25600和25800区间,布林带中轨支撑刚好在25600,整体趋势偏空,
By the end of the release period, the top 27200 and the bottom 26880 of the Bitcoin Kline had been left unattended in the vicinity of 27300, and nodes had not reached the projected position. This showed that there was considerable resistance over the top, that the short- and medium-term blanks were more powerful, especially in the form of MACDs, that the DIF and DAA were about to fall down, that the MEA, while currently providing a support point for the K Line, that the 26,600 below was not strong, continued to look down, that 25,500 KDJ was jumping down, and that the lower resistance points could be seen in the 25,600 and 25,800 areas, and that the trajectory in the Boolin belt was just at 25,600 and the overall trend was off.
再来看四小时K线已经跌入EMA内部,平衡点在26600,支撑点在26200,MACD缩量下行,KDJ向下扩散,布林带已经触底下轨,有向下开口的趋势,整体偏空,思路上建议回调空,主空为主,低多为辅,行情瞬息万变,分析主做参考,风险自担
If you look back at the four-hour line K has fallen inside the EMA, the balance is 26600, the support point is 26200, the MACD is down, KDJ is down, the belt is down, there's a tendency to open down, there's a general emptiness, the idea is to go back, it's mostly empty, it's low, it's fast changing, it's a reference, it's risk-taking.
以太坊
以太坊仿佛进入了一个震荡下行的通道,不知道是不是假象,截止发稿前日K线最高1754,最低1700,K线短期内收阳,均线支撑关注1680,MACD放量下行结束开始缩量,DIF和DEA形成死叉,也就是说1750不破空势依旧强,KDJ低位开始收口,下方空间受阻,上行也有较强的阻力,布林带中轨支撑1690,
As if it were entering a tremors-down route, it's not like it's fake that the top K line is 1754, the lowest 1700, the short-term catch of the K line as of the day before the release, that the mean line supports the focus on 1680, that the end of the MACD release starts to shrink, and that DIF and DAA form a dead fork, which means that 1750 is still strong, that KDJ starts to close down, that the lower space is blocked, that there is more resistance on the upper side, and that the rails in the Boolin belt support 1690.
四小时短线趋势,开始震荡向下,K线目前位于均线压力位1750,下方支撑点1700,MACD缩量,DIF和DEA态度不明,KDJ向上扩受阻于1750,布林带中轨防守失败,下方关注1700,防守1650,整体思路建议回调空,低多为辅,行情瞬息万变,分析主做参考,风险自担返回搜狐,查看更多
Four hours of short-line trend, starting to shake down, K Line is currently located at the average line pressure level of 1750, the support point below is 1700, the MACD shrinkage is unclear, DIF and DAA attitude is unclear, KDJ upwards are held back by 1750, and KDJ's rail defense in the Bryn belt has failed, and the following side is concerned about 1700, defense 1650, the whole idea is advised to go back, low-intended, fast-changing, analytically referenceable, risk-taking lass= "backsohu" >
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